Forecast Discussion (and longer range forecast):

Your humble meteorologist is going to take this quiet weather time to catch up on personal family items.  Figure 1 shows we stay very dry and hot (it is 98F right now – holy cow!) through Wednesday. Our next front brings in rain chances on Thursday and a big cool down.  You will notice that things dry out (with a tiny chance of afternoon showers, more up in the mountains) until the week after next when another front may arrive.  The problem is that the next trough that cools us down also pushes the tropical moisture, that arrives Thursday, rapidly off to the east.  This is not a wet pattern for us. Yet.

Figure 1: the next 10 days of the graphical forecast for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
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John Ensworth works from Longmont as the Principle Investigator for the NASA Science Mission Directorate Earth and space science education product review through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies – www.strategies.org) . He is in his 14th year running this review. He is an astronomer (from the 2nd grade onward) and became a meteorologist (in the 5th grade) when a thunderstorm in Arizona rained on his telescope when the weather service had only forecasted a 10% chance of rain. He has college degrees in physics and astronomy and climatology and a graduate degree in meteorology and earth science. He lectures at the Little Thompson Observatory in Berthoud, the Estes Park Memorial Observatory in Estes Park, and for a number of online universities. He built and runs a backyard observatory near Pace and 17th in northeast Longmont where he has lived for 8 years with his wife, daughter, son, and two cats. Invitations to open house nights at this observatory, LTO, and EPMO will be posted with future discussions when they are scheduled. Forecasting severe weather and snow amounts via text lead to this column. He began texting friends about the weather right after the September 2013 flood. The readers of this column will, hopefully, keep him honest in what he ‘thought’ he had forecasted for ‘the most recent’ storm.

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