Forecast Discussion and the Longer Range Forecast:

Howdy all. The forecast is still on track from the last few days and I’m on travel through late Saturday night, so I need to be brief today.

The past storm is off and away. Mild weather rules through Saturday afternoon. Get out and enjoy this break!  (Figure 1).

The next front passes and starts to drop temperatures around 2-3 p.m. Saturday, but the precipitation chances don’t jump up until around 7 p.m. It will probably start as all snow and we still seem to be in the 2-4 inch snowfall total by Sunday later afternoon. We become dry again after that and warm slowly for the rest of the 10 day period.

On another programming note, my family is going on vacation Halloween week (Friday 10/26 to Saturday 11/3). This column will be taking a break for our get-a-way.

Figure 1: the next 10 days of the graphical forecast for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
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John Ensworth works from Longmont as the Principle Investigator for the NASA Science Mission Directorate Earth and space science education product review through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies – www.strategies.org) . He is in his 14th year running this review. He is an astronomer (from the 2nd grade onward) and became a meteorologist (in the 5th grade) when a thunderstorm in Arizona rained on his telescope when the weather service had only forecasted a 10% chance of rain. He has college degrees in physics and astronomy and climatology and a graduate degree in meteorology and earth science. He lectures at the Little Thompson Observatory in Berthoud, the Estes Park Memorial Observatory in Estes Park, and for a number of online universities. He built and runs a backyard observatory near Pace and 17th in northeast Longmont where he has lived for 8 years with his wife, daughter, son, and two cats. Invitations to open house nights at this observatory, LTO, and EPMO will be posted with future discussions when they are scheduled. Forecasting severe weather and snow amounts via text lead to this column. He began texting friends about the weather right after the September 2013 flood. The readers of this column will, hopefully, keep him honest in what he ‘thought’ he had forecasted for ‘the most recent’ storm.

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