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The Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – March 9 , 2018

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

We hit 66F on Thursday and will see a very similar temperature today (Friday) as a ridge center moves overhead ahead of a minor cold front arriving on Saturday mid-morning.

The first, very minor, frontal push will cross Longmont around 4pm Friday.  Another cool push comes down from the north around 8am.  We only cool about 10-12 degrees F off of the very warm Friday temperatures.

Figure 1 shows the maximum precipitation extent midday Saturday. There is light snow in the mountains and there is a tiny chance of sprinkles or flurries in Longmont before this clears out.

Figure 2 shows winds midday Saturday. Winds won't be extreme, but the chill and gusty breezes will make outdoor activities uncomfortable. Winds will hover in the 15-20mph range for a few hours.  After that we stay above normal as far as temperatures are concerned, and dry.

Figure 1: a snapshot of current pressure and precipitation types for a 6 hour period centered on midday Saturday. Blue is snow. Longmont is the pink dot. From tropicaltidbits.com

Figure 2: a snapshot of current pressure windspeed for a 6 hour period centered on midday Saturday. Longmont is the pink dot. From tropicaltidbits.com

The longer range forecast:

Figure 3 is the big picture 500mb upper air map with ridges as red colors and troughs in blue (departures from average). For most of the week, a big pink/red ridge dominates the west. By Friday, a trough finally digs down the West coast and is approaching Colorado by middle next weekend.  The very long range forecast does hint at rain and snow around Sunday next week.

Figure 3: animation of 500mb upper air forecast map from Friday PM to Sunday early morning March 18th from tropicaltidbits.com

Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

49°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.65 Falling
Visibility
7 miles
Dewpoint
45 °F
Humidity
86%
Wind
S 2.7 mph
Gust
6.6 mph
Wind Chill
49 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
3 AM
50°F
Showers
Today
4 AM
50°F
Cloudy
Today
5 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Today
6 AM
51°F
Cloudy
Today
7 AM
52°F
Cloudy
Today
8 AM
55°F
Cloudy
Today
9 AM
60°F
Cloudy
Today
10 AM
62°F
Thunderstorms
Today
11 AM
65°F
Cloudy
Today
12 PM
68°F
Cloudy
Today
1 PM
67°F
Thunderstorms
Today
2 PM
70°F
Mostly cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Thursday

72 °F

Turning cloudy, warm; an afternoon shower or two


Thunderstorms

Thursday Night

49 °F

Considerable cloudiness and mild; a thunderstorm in parts of the area in the evening followed by a brief shower or two late


Thunderstorms

Friday

70 °F

Mostly cloudy with a couple of thundershowers


Thunderstorms

Friday Night

45 °F

Cloudy with a couple of thundershowers


Rain

Saturday

48 °F

Chilly with periods of rain and a thunderstorm


Rain and snow

Saturday Night

39 °F

Cloudy with rain, mixed with a little snow late


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

59 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

36 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

71 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

45 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:07 AM
Sunset
7:50 PM

Based on AccuWeather data