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Forecast Discussion:
Storms dropped big hail in a few locations on the eastern plains, but not near Longmont on Monday. It was interesting that the pattern seen on the GFS forecast yesterday DID match what happened fairly closely. Maybe it triggered on orograph (land caused) storm formation. Interesting.
We have less moisture around today and will have a bit less tomorrow (Figure 1). That figure shows some more dry air on the eastern plains (with purple and blue afternoon thunderstorms). The smoke from the west is still present, but lighter than it has been much of the last week (Figure 2).
The frontal push of the last few days washes out to our south. Heating and an upper level trough will kick off a bit of a storm or two along the Front Range in the afternoon again (Figure 3).
Storms are isolated with many locations seeing only a sprinkle or little rain (Figure 4).
There will be a chance of severe storms today, but mainly in South Denver and south into New Mexico - Figure 5.
The longer range forecast:
We dry out and warm to right around 88°F to 90°F each day. Pretty quiet after that.
