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Forecast Discussion:
The smoke has cleared (so no HRRR maps today) and a bit more moisture has flowed into the West. Figure 1 shows there is some water vapor from all sorts of directions. It does appear that Hurricane Irma has some moisture in it as well. Figure 2 is the upper air map from Sunday PM showing those same moisture channels. The ridge is sitting on Colorado keeping us above normal as far as daytime high temperatures go. Some chances of afternoon showers will continue as they fire in the foothills and a few wander east to *maybe* get to us.
The Longer Range Forecast:
We stay above normal and pretty dry until Wed/Thur when a cool front may come down and knock us down to the lower 80's and bring just a bit of a better chance of rain. There isn't much to show graphically yet at this point.
Figure 3 shows the current forecast for Irma and how it will be heading to the Mississippi River Valley and the Tennessee/Kentucky/ Indiana and Ohio area. Figure 4 shows the arrival time, over the next day, of tropical storm forced winds up into the SE US. Figure 5 shows 2+ inches of rain falling between now and Thursday AM for much of Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, and parts of Tennessee and North Carolina. And, of course, 6+ inches of rain over a lot of Florida.
And lest we forget Hurricane Jose, it is projected to do loop-d-loops out in the ocean with the last position next Friday heading a bit back toward the U.S. We'll keep one eye on it all week.
