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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – September 17, 2019

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

In Brief:

We say goodby to upper 80'sF after Tuesday. A pretty strong cold front slides across Colorado Tuesday afternoon/evening. The western slopes will see rain and thundershowers over the next week, but the eastern Plains won't see much. The higher elevations will pick up a bit of snow over the next 5 days; really up high, and just a bit.

Forecast Discussion:

The pattern change that is bringing in more Fall-like weather is visible as the trough coming in on the West Coast and the low center off the coast of Canada (Figure 1). This first short wave will usher in a cold front that is visible sweeping out of Wyoming later today (Tuesday - Figure 2, and the first blue lie in Figure 4).

The Longer Range Forecast:

Wednesday we drop to lower 80'sF then another cold front Thursday (pushed in by another deep trough - Figure 3) gives us a small chance of showers and another cool down (from mid 80'sF) to first 80F Friday and then another front (another trough - Figure 4) and a cool down to about
75 F temperatures for the weekend (Figure 5).

Just for fun, the higher elevations should see a dusting of snow over the next 5 days (Figure 6). Can coats, sledding, and Christmas presents be far off...?

You can also say goodbye to hurricane Humberto out in the Atlantic, if you wish (Figures 1,2,3,4).

Figure 1: The 500mb forecast upper air analysis for Tuesday AM. Pink dot is Longmont. Red lines are troughs, blue lines are ridges.
Figure 2: The forecast surface map for Tuesday PM from NCEP.
Figure 3: The 500mb forecast upper air analysis for Thursday AM. Pink dot is Longmont. Red lines are troughs, blue lines are ridges.
Figure 4: The 500mb forecast upper air analysis for Saturday AM. Pink dot is Longmont. Red lines are troughs, blue lines are ridges.
Figure 5: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
Figure 6: The forecast snow totals for the next 5 days from the GFS and weather5280.com

Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

33°F

UV Index
1 Low
Pressure
30.31 Falling
Visibility
5 miles
Dewpoint
31 °F
Humidity
92%
Wind
NE 1.6 mph
Gust
3.2 mph
Wind Chill
33 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
10 AM
35°F
Cloudy
Today
11 AM
36°F
Cloudy
Today
12 PM
37°F
Cloudy
Today
1 PM
38°F
Snow
Today
2 PM
39°F
Cloudy
Today
3 PM
40°F
Cloudy
Today
4 PM
41°F
Cloudy
Today
5 PM
40°F
Cloudy
Today
6 PM
39°F
Rain and snow
Today
7 PM
38°F
Rain
Today
8 PM
37°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 PM
36°F
Intermittent clouds

7 Day Forecast

Rain and snow

Saturday

41 °F

Cloudy and cold; a bit of morning snow followed by a rain or snow shower in spots this afternoon; storm total 1-3"; roads could be slippery


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

32 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Sunday

63 °F

Partly sunny and warmer


Mostly clear

Sunday Night

41 °F

Mainly clear


Intermittent clouds

Monday

79 °F

Warmer with intervals of clouds and sun


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

42 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday

66 °F

Mostly cloudy and not as warm; a passing afternoon shower


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday Night

40 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Wednesday

79 °F

Mostly sunny, nice and warm


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday Night

44 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:14 AM
Sunset
7:45 PM

Based on AccuWeather data