Skip to content

Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – May 14, 2019

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

In Brief:

We reach the 80'sF for highs over the next 3 days. There is a small chance of afternoon showers/thunderstorms rolling off the mountains in the afternoon (as we have seen for a few days already).

A big trough moves in again for Friday - kicking off thunderstorms and cooling us to the 60'sF into next week.

Forecast Discussion:

High pressure at the surface (Figure 1) and overhead in the jet stream level (Figure 2) means we warm up. With daytime heating, moisture, and ripples in that upper level flow - we may see afternoon thundershowers the next couple of days. Each day hits the 80'sF (Figure 3). This will feel warm.

The Longer Range Forecast:

The next big trough (not shown) moves in on Friday. We might see severe storms nearby (we won't know more until closer to the week end -blue line -Figure 3). We cool about 15-20F starting Saturday and continuing on to mid-week next week.

Not a lot of water seems in the offing though. The GFS gives us under 1/4th inch over the next 5 days (Figure 4). Over the next 10 days, snow remains in the mountain and may dust Boulder - but not Longmont (Figure 5). More later!

Figure 1: The forecast surface map for Tuesday early AM from NCEP.
Figure 2: The 500mb forecast upper air analysis for Wednesday morning. Pink dot is Longmont. Red lines are troughs, blue lines are ridges.
Figure 3: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
Figure 3: the forecast accumulated precipitation map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado,over the next 5 days.
Figure 5: the forecast accumulated snow map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado,over the next 10 days.

Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

35°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.25 Falling
Visibility
5 miles
Dewpoint
32 °F
Humidity
89%
Wind
ENE 1.1 mph
Gust
2.9 mph
Wind Chill
35 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
1 AM
34°F
Showers
Today
2 AM
34°F
Cloudy
Today
3 AM
34°F
Cloudy
Today
4 AM
34°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
5 AM
34°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
6 AM
34°F
Cloudy
Today
7 AM
35°F
Cloudy
Today
8 AM
36°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 AM
37°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
10 AM
40°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
11 AM
43°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
12 PM
46°F
Intermittent clouds

7 Day Forecast

Rain and snow

Thursday

37 °F

Cloudy and much colder; snow showers this morning, accumulating a coating to an inch followed by brief showers this afternoon


Mostly cloudy

Thursday Night

34 °F

A shower in spots late this evening; otherwise, mostly cloudy


Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Friday

47 °F

Chilly with some sun, then turning cloudy; a little rain in the afternoon


Rain and snow

Friday Night

33 °F

Periods of snow; rain mixed in early, accumulating an inch or two


Flurries

Saturday

43 °F

A bit of morning snow with little or no accumulation; otherwise, cloudy and chilly; storm total snowfall an inch or two


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

31 °F

Partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Sunday

69 °F

Pleasant and warmer with partial sunshine


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

44 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Monday

79 °F

Very warm with a blend of sun and clouds


Intermittent clouds

Monday Night

36 °F

Increasing clouds


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:17 AM
Sunset
7:43 PM

Based on AccuWeather data