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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – March 9, 2019

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

With this next system approaching this afternoon, I'm posting early. Again.

This system is quite similar to the mid-week storm. Another good coating of snow hits the Western slopes and high mountains while some rain (this time) and snow and ice sweeps the I-25 corridor briefly.

You can see the system in the surface map for early Saturday morning - Figure 1. Near the end of the precipitation, around midnight, temperatures are still just a bit above freezing. It still may put down snow and ice where heavier precipitation comes down (Figure 2). Winds will make it feel colder and will make Saturday morning uncomfortable. Figure 3 shows gusty winds scraping the foothills overnight up to about noon Saturday (also visible in the winds graph at the bottom of Figure 2). (Note, even a few thunderstorms are possible anywhere over Colorado too!)

Figure 4 suggests a coating to an inch of snow IS possible (I'd vote for the coating to 1/4 inch end, personally, for Longmont). Figure 5 shows us getting .05 to 0.25 inch of rain with this system.

The longer range forecast:

Winds calm down and we have a mild dry weekend later Saturday. The Tuesday/Wednesday storm is all over the place in the models. One model run gives us a bunch of rain (like the weatherunderground.com model does in this instance - Figure 2). Others give us a big March winter storm with blizzard conditions out on the eastern Plain. Others give us nothing but gusty winds and cloudy skies. You'll have to come back to find out more!

Figure 1: The forecast surface map for Saturday early morning from NCEP.
Figure 2: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
Figure 3: the forecast winds and pressure map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, for Saturday early morning.
Figure 4: the forecast accumulated snow map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, through the next 2 days.
Figure 5: the forecast accumulated precipitation (rain too) map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, through the next 2 days.

Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

50°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.9 Falling
Visibility
7 miles
Dewpoint
45 °F
Humidity
82%
Wind
NNW 2.8 mph
Gust
6.2 mph
Wind Chill
50 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
4 AM
46°F
Clear
Today
5 AM
43°F
Mostly clear
Today
6 AM
41°F
Mostly clear
Today
7 AM
45°F
Partly sunny
Today
8 AM
52°F
Partly sunny
Today
9 AM
59°F
Partly sunny
Today
10 AM
65°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
11 AM
71°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
12 PM
75°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
1 PM
77°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
2 PM
75°F
Thunderstorms
Today
3 PM
73°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Thursday

77 °F

Turning cloudy, warm; breezy, a stray thunderstorm this afternoon


Thunderstorms

Thursday Night

47 °F

A thunderstorm in spots this evening; otherwise, considerable cloudiness


Thunderstorms

Friday

69 °F

Mostly cloudy and not as warm with a couple of thundershowers


Thunderstorms

Friday Night

44 °F

Cloudy with a couple of thundershowers


Rain

Saturday

46 °F

Chilly with periods of rain and a thunderstorm


Rain and snow

Saturday Night

39 °F

Cloudy with rain, mixed with a little snow late


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

59 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer; a stray afternoon thundershower


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

36 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Monday

71 °F

Mostly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Mostly clear

Monday Night

39 °F

Mainly clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:07 AM
Sunset
7:50 PM

Based on AccuWeather data