As the west coast trough drifts eastward very slowly, we’ll have elevated chances of afternoon thunderstorms for the next couple of days (Monday and Tuesday). We stay near 80F for a high most of the week with a hint of a cool down at the end of next weekend. There is a marginal risk of severe weather today (Monday) along I-25 and eastward.
High pressure at the surface means that warm weather and sunny conditions will rule for this week (Figure 1). The upper air trough out west will start to move towards us (red line and Low center “L” in figure 2). We will have a Marginal risk (a 1 on a scale of 1-5 – Figure 3) of severe weather right along I-25 and eastward today. Hail and high winds will be the primary threat again. Rainfall over the next 48 hours (Monday/Tuesday) will be quite spotty with a few people seeing up to an inch of water or more. Most will get nothing to a quarter inch to fall (Figure 4).
The Longer Range Forecast:
We will continue to see afternoon showers and thunderstorms move off the mountains each afternoon. Who knows who will get hit each day (Figure 5). We cool a bit on Wednesday then it is back to the 80’sF. We’ll have to watch this cool down to the 60’sF at the end of next weekend. Will it happen?