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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – July 23-24, 2019

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

In Brief:

We return to normal (or a bit below normal) temperatures Tuesday and on into next week. With monsoon/tropical moisture sitting around, afternoon thunderstorms over our very moist state are a possibility every day.

Forecast Discussion:

Monsoon (or moisture flow from the tropics/Gulf of Mexico and Gulf of California) moisture is drifting around (Figure 1) a high pressure system over the four corners areas. This will lead to a chance of afternoon storms every day - starting in the mountains and drifting southeast (Figure 2).

Temperatures will be just about average for this time of year beginning today (Tuesday - Figure 2).

The Longer Range Forecast:

The high over the southwest will drift VERY slowly deeper down into the southwest as the week wears on. This will keep some moisture drifting in (green arrows - Figure 3) and abnormally cool air filtering down into the central U.S. (Figure 4). This will be a strange end of July for much of the U.S. and we are on the edge of this cool-ish air.

I'm off on ANOTHER business trip - so I'll need to 'cover a few days at a time' again. I'll be watching the state from San Francisco this time... gotta pack that suitcase again.

Figure 3: the water vapor satellite image (browns/reds are dry air, whites and light grey is moist air, purple/blue is ice and high cloud tops). From the the NWS Monday PM.
Figure 2: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
Figure 3: Image of the 500mb pattern for Thursday at noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com.
Figure 4: Image of the surface temperature anomaly (departure from normal) pattern for Thursday at noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com.

Current Weather

Sunny

Sunny

57°F

UV Index
4 Moderate
Pressure
29.6 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
45 °F
Humidity
64%
Wind
WNW 3.8 mph
Gust
12.1 mph
Wind Chill
57 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
10 AM
59°F
Cloudy
Today
11 AM
61°F
Cloudy
Today
12 PM
64°F
Cloudy
Today
1 PM
66°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
2 PM
68°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
3 PM
70°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
4 PM
69°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
5 PM
66°F
Cloudy
Today
6 PM
63°F
Thunderstorms
Today
7 PM
59°F
Cloudy
Today
8 PM
56°F
Cloudy
Today
9 PM
53°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Thunderstorms

Friday

70 °F

Mostly cloudy with a couple of thundershowers this afternoon; gusty winds and small hail can accompany any downpour


Thunderstorms

Friday Night

44 °F

Cloudy; a couple of showers and a thunderstorm this evening followed by periods of rain late; gusty winds and small hail can accompany any downpour


Rain

Saturday

47 °F

Chilly with periods of rain and a thunderstorm; travel in the foothills and mountains will be slippery due to snow


Rain and snow

Saturday Night

36 °F

Cloudy with rain, mixed with a little snow late; travel in the foothills and mountains will be slippery due to snow


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

61 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer


Intermittent clouds

Sunday Night

36 °F

A thunderstorm in spots in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

71 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

45 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Tuesday

73 °F

Pleasant with sunshine and patchy clouds


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

43 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:06 AM
Sunset
7:51 PM

Based on AccuWeather data