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Forecast Discussion:
High pressure and beautiful (if not unusually warm and dry) skies keep on happening (Figure 1). Our next storm is bashing itself apart against the west coast of North America.
The longer range forecast:
When that storm arrives, a weak front will interact with some moisture and give the plains a bit more of a precipitation chance than we've had since just after Christmas. Friday, we might get some measurable precipitation. Weatherunderground's model (Figure 2) labels it as rain, but temperatures will be near the 30's F and will lower once precipitation starts to fall, so it will probably fall as snow. Not much snow though... Figure 3, the GFS suggests a coating to 1 inch around Longmont. Looking out 10 days, that is our only chance here. Figure 4 has the same snow amount for us, but more snow on the western slopes and high mountains (great for them!).
A bonus: an ensemble run from weatherbell looking out 16 days gives us 2-3 inches of snow over the next two weeks. I'm still waiting for that big winter to start! (Figure 5)
