Forecast Discussion and the Longer Range forecast:

I just landed from the last trip for quite a while… boy are my arms tired.  (That’s not how that goes…)

The unusual cold gets fully replaced by unusual warmth today as a big ridge moves in to the western states (Figure 1). There is a small rain chance at the end of this upcoming weekend – but it looks too warm for snow.  The (now 8 day out) storm still looks big and juicy, if not really cold right at the start.  The lunar eclipse (that you could come to the Cherrywood Observatory if you wish – I’ll include eclipse times, an eclipse forecast and contact info for me in a discussion soon) may be in good shape with this storm clearing out on Saturday (the eclipse is Sunday night).

Figure 1: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days forecast for Longmont, CO from
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John Ensworth works from Longmont as the Principle Investigator for the NASA Science Mission Directorate Earth and space science education product review through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies – . He is in his 14th year running this review. He is an astronomer (from the 2nd grade onward) and became a meteorologist (in the 5th grade) when a thunderstorm in Arizona rained on his telescope when the weather service had only forecasted a 10% chance of rain. He has college degrees in physics and astronomy and climatology and a graduate degree in meteorology and earth science. He lectures at the Little Thompson Observatory in Berthoud, the Estes Park Memorial Observatory in Estes Park, and for a number of online universities. He built and runs a backyard observatory near Pace and 17th in northeast Longmont where he has lived for 8 years with his wife, daughter, son, and two cats. Invitations to open house nights at this observatory, LTO, and EPMO will be posted with future discussions when they are scheduled. Forecasting severe weather and snow amounts via text lead to this column. He began texting friends about the weather right after the September 2013 flood. The readers of this column will, hopefully, keep him honest in what he ‘thought’ he had forecasted for ‘the most recent’ storm.

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