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Forecast Discussion:
Not much has changed since the discussion yesterday. The two western lows (pink arrows) have moved closer to the state. The western slopes of Colorado will start to feel the storm effects (yes more snow) by tonight (Figure 1). We stay dry and abnormally warm on this side of the Divide.
Figure 1: The forecast surface map for Tuesday PM. From NCEP. The longer range forecast:
We don't see any storm effects until Friday (still) but temperatures are looking warmer during that storm than previously (forecasted by the weatherunderground model). Through the storm's precipitation event, temperatures are around 40° F again (very much like last Friday's - spooky similarity!). We may not see much snow, but just more rain (Figure 2).
Estes Park and the mountains see more snow staring Wednesday and on through Saturday (at least at small chances - Figure 3). Snow isn't far away. The snowfall from the GFS over the next 5 days shows that the GFS thinks we are a bit colder and gives us 1/10th to 1 inch of snow by Saturday PM (Figure 4). The forecast will become more accurate in a day or two!
