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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – February 26, 2019

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

An important front sits draped across northeast Colorado for a few days. To the southwest (where we live/Longmont) temperatures will be quite mild, even with some clouds. To the northeast, it will be very cold with periods of freezing fog up near Nebraska and NW Kansas (Figure 1).

Except for a minor wiggle in this front tomorrow (Wednesday) we'll be in the mid-50's until cold air surges to the south and southwest Friday (Figure 2).

The longer range forecast:

Temperatures over the next 3 days will (largely) be about 10 degrees above normal (Figure 3). Friday's cold surge is looking less snowy (Figure 2) but the cold will be memorable. Figure 4 shows temperatures dropping to 20 to 40F below normal for areas east of the Rockies by Sunday. Brrrrr! That's what we get with a semi-stagnant upper air pattern over the northern hemisphere now. More on this big change later!

Figure 1: The forecast surface map for Tuesday noonFrom NCEP.

Figure 2: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com
Figure 3: The forecast temperature departure from normal map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, Wednesday noon.
Figure 4: The forecast temperature departure from normal map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, Sunday noon.

Current Weather

Mostly clear

Mostly clear

58°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.88 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
34 °F
Humidity
40%
Wind
WNW 2.9 mph
Gust
5.7 mph
Wind Chill
58 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
12 AM
57°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
1 AM
54°F
Partly cloudy
Today
2 AM
51°F
Partly cloudy
Today
3 AM
48°F
Partly cloudy
Today
4 AM
46°F
Partly cloudy
Today
5 AM
44°F
Partly cloudy
Today
6 AM
42°F
Partly cloudy
Today
7 AM
43°F
Partly sunny
Today
8 AM
46°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 AM
49°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
10 AM
51°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
11 AM
54°F
Mostly cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ showers

Monday

78 °F

Warmer with a blend of sun and clouds; a couple of showers this afternoon


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

42 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday

61 °F

Mostly cloudy and cooler


Partly cloudy w/ showers

Tuesday Night

39 °F

A couple of evening showers; otherwise, partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Wednesday

76 °F

Pleasant and warmer with sunshine and patchy clouds


Partly cloudy

Wednesday Night

40 °F

Patchy clouds


Mostly cloudy

Thursday

75 °F

Turning cloudy, warm; breezy, a thunderstorm around in the afternoon


Cloudy

Thursday Night

48 °F

Considerable cloudiness with a thundershower in parts of the area


Showers

Friday

71 °F

Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers


Thunderstorms

Friday Night

46 °F

Thundershowers in the evening; cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:11 AM
Sunset
7:47 PM

Based on AccuWeather data