Forecast Discussion:
So much moisture is coming to the west (still), but so little will fall around us. Figure 1 shows the western slopes and higher mountain locations getting a wide range of winter weather… and it shows us staying quite dry.
The graphical forecast in Figure 2 shows clouds Saturday evening into Sunday am, but very low chances of precipitation (nothing measurable from this model).
We do get briefly cooler in the short term. By Monday (Figure 3) we’ll be about 10°F below normal before warming up towards normal again. The GFS shows getting dusting to a coating through Monday am (Figure 4) while the NAM (Figure 5) puts a coating on the west side of town. It does not seem to be anything to write home about.
The longer range forecast:
Back to Figure 2, the Monday snow chances are a fraction of the snow chances tonight (Sat) into Sunday. Very small, in other words. We get cloudy for the morning to mark the additional snow falling in the mountains. Later in the week, Thursday pm, there is a storm worth keeping our eyes on, then a bigger pattern change next weekend with measurable snow noted. I try not to get excited about the next-next storm until the next storm passes, so we’ll watch these all week.
