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Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – December 18, 2018

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

Rooting for snow this Christmas is like hoping the Broncos will 'do it' this next game. One still does not know, no matter how much talk there is about it...

But first, an upper level trough will bring the jet stream over the Rockies and the Front Range tonight into Wednesday night. We will have strong, possibly damaging, winds at times. From the National Weather Service (and Figure 1):

..HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Denver has issued a High Wind

Watch, which is in effect from Wednesday morning through

Wednesday afternoon.

* TIMING...8 AM MST through 5 PM MST.

* WINDS...Northwest winds 30 to 40 MPH with gusts up to 55 MPH

possible.

* IMPACTS...Areas of blowing dust restricting visibility. Strong

crosswinds on highways. Possible power outages caused by downed

power lines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means there is the potential for a hazardous

high wind event. Strong winds may lead to property damage.

Hazardous driving conditions due to powerful cross winds will be

possible for drivers, especially for light weight and

high profile vehicles. Loose outdoor items should be brought

inside or secured properly. Continue to monitor the latest

forecasts.

Figure 1: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days forecast for Longmont, CO from weatherunderground.com

The longer range forecast:

We have a pre-dawn chance of snow Saturday, but highs reach upper 40's to lower 50's F Saturday through Christmas. That is hard to hold on to any dusting of snow that might occur. There is a chance of evening precipitation Christmas night (does that count?) on to the day after. We'll keep watching it here.

Meanwhile the mountains will see snow Wednesday morning and all day Saturday and Monday mornings as well as Christmas morning and day (Figure 2).

A large river of cold air will begin to dominate the Great Plains and places eastward, but we'll only be on the western shoreline of this shallow cold air. Longmont seems snow-free through Christmas at this time (Figure 3).

Also, from the NWS Boulder: Winter Solstice is coming up this Friday, Dec 21st at 3:23 PM MST. Our shortest day of the year will feature 9 hrs, 53 mins & 21 seconds of light. Enjoy that sunshine early and often!

Figure 2: the graphical forecast for the next 10 days forecast for Estes Park, CO from weatherunderground.com

Figure 3: The forecast accumulated snow map from the GFS and weather5280.com for Colorado, through Christmas Day afternoon.

Current Weather

Mostly sunny

Mostly sunny

60°F

UV Index
4 Moderate
Pressure
29.59 Steady
Visibility
9 miles
Dewpoint
46 °F
Humidity
60%
Wind
W 4.9 mph
Gust
15.1 mph
Wind Chill
60 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
10 AM
59°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
11 AM
62°F
Cloudy
Today
12 PM
65°F
Cloudy
Today
1 PM
67°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
2 PM
68°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
3 PM
70°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
4 PM
68°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
5 PM
66°F
Cloudy
Today
6 PM
63°F
Thunderstorms
Today
7 PM
59°F
Cloudy
Today
8 PM
56°F
Cloudy
Today
9 PM
53°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Thunderstorms

Friday

70 °F

Mostly cloudy with a couple of thundershowers this afternoon; gusty winds and small hail can accompany any downpour


Thunderstorms

Friday Night

44 °F

Cloudy; a couple of showers and a thunderstorm this evening followed by periods of rain late; gusty winds and small hail can accompany any downpour


Rain

Saturday

47 °F

Chilly with periods of rain and a thunderstorm; travel in the foothills and mountains will be slippery due to snow


Rain and snow

Saturday Night

36 °F

Cloudy with rain, mixed with a little snow late; travel in the foothills and mountains will be slippery due to snow


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

61 °F

Mostly cloudy and warmer


Intermittent clouds

Sunday Night

36 °F

A thunderstorm in spots in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

71 °F

Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

45 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly sunny

Tuesday

73 °F

Pleasant with sunshine and patchy clouds


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

43 °F

Partly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:06 AM
Sunset
7:51 PM

Based on AccuWeather data