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In Brief:
Very nice weather continues through Sunday midday with a slight chance of an afternoon shower moving off the mountains most days. Things get wetter and cooler Sunday night and into next week.
Forecast Discussion:
We're at our first broken record post of the Spring. We do have a weak front pushing into the state Thursday morning (Figure 1 - thin blue line). It will cool us down about 5-8 degrees over Wednesday's high temperature. This will also give us just a bit better moisture source and a focus for afternoon thundershowers to form in. Still - they won't give anyone. except a lucky few neighborhoods. any significant rain (Figure 2).
The Longer Range Forecast:
The mountains see daily shower activity while we remain mostly dry and warm on the Plains. Figure 3 shows the rainfall total through midday Sunday. I-25 looks like it is singled out for no rainfall. (My kids would say "no fair.") The more distant plains will see some showers.
The next major change comes Sunday afternoon with a cool down and rainfall chances increasing a lot (Figure 2). The (fantasy?) rainfall total forecast from the GFS gives us 1.5-2 inches of rain over the next 10 days. Do not start placing bets on this yet.
