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The Next Storm/Next Snow Forecast Discussion from the Cherrywood Observatory – December 10, 2017

This content was originally published by the Longmont Observer and is licensed under a Creative Commons license.

Forecast Discussion:

We enter an extended period of very temperate weather - with temperatures about 10-20 degrees above normal day and night. Like yesterday (Figure 1) high pressure dominates the entire western 1/2 of the nation.  The upper air pattern (Figure 2) shows that giant ridge in the west that is keeping us dry and warm for the week.

Figure 1: Current surface map from the weather channel from Saturday PM.

Figure 2: The 500mb upper air forecast map for Sunday Morning from the GFS.

The longer range forecast:

The next hint of something changing comes as a deeper trough links up with the deep south trough in Figure 2 (see Figure 3) for Saturday AM. Hopefully this will begin a pattern change that will make it feel more like winter around here.

Figure 4, though, is the total precipitation between now and Christmas Eve for the U.S. (Longmont is the pink dot). There is very little precipitation expected for California (bad new) up into western Kansas (except for the western slopes of Colorado).

Figure 3: The 500mb upper air forecast map for next Saturday Morning from the GFS.

Figure 4: The total precipitation between now and Sunday morning Christmas Eve (12/24) from the GFS at tropical tidbits.

Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

32°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.36 Steady
Visibility
4 miles
Dewpoint
30 °F
Humidity
93%
Wind
ENE 1.1 mph
Gust
2.2 mph
Wind Chill
32 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
1 AM
33°F
Cloudy
Today
2 AM
33°F
Cloudy
Today
3 AM
33°F
Cloudy
Today
4 AM
33°F
Snow
Today
5 AM
33°F
Snow
Today
6 AM
33°F
Snow
Today
7 AM
33°F
Cloudy
Today
8 AM
33°F
Flurries
Today
9 AM
34°F
Snow
Today
10 AM
35°F
Cloudy
Today
11 AM
36°F
Cloudy
Today
12 PM
37°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Rain and snow

Friday

41 °F

Chilly; rain and snow showers this morning with little or no accumulation followed by rain and drizzle this afternoon


Snow

Friday Night

32 °F

Periods of wet snow, accumulating 1-3 inches; roads could be slippery


Flurries

Saturday

39 °F

A bit of morning snow with little or no accumulation; otherwise, cloudy and cold; storm total snowfall 1-3 inches


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

30 °F

A shower in places in the evening; otherwise, partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Sunday

64 °F

Partly sunny and warmer


Mostly clear

Sunday Night

41 °F

Mainly clear


Intermittent clouds

Monday

79 °F

Warmer with a blend of sun and clouds


Partly cloudy

Monday Night

40 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday

66 °F

Mostly cloudy and not as warm


Mostly cloudy

Tuesday Night

40 °F

Mostly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:15 AM
Sunset
7:44 PM

Based on AccuWeather data